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About the Role
The Forecast Data Analyst V is part of the Department of Family and Protective Services (DFPS) Chief Financial Officer (CFO) Office and serves as the manager of the Financial Forecasting Team. This position provides leadership, technical oversight, and strategic forecasting support to agency leadership. The Forecasting Team develops and maintains financial, workload, and operational forecasting models that support agency budgeting, resource allocation, strategic planning, and executive decision-making. This position collaborates with DFPS leadership and program areas to provide data-driven insights that improve agency operations and support positive outcomes for the children, families, and vulnerable adults served by DFPS. The Forecast Data Analyst V performs highly advanced forecasting, statistical, and financial analysis work and exercises considerable independent judgment and initiative.
Responsibilities
- Provides direct supervision, coaching, performance management, and professional development for Financial Forecasting Team staff.
- Establishes team priorities, manages workloads, and ensures timely completion of high-quality analytical deliverables.
- Mentors and develops staff in forecasting methodologies, statistical analysis, data visualization, and professional communication.
- Supports recruitment, onboarding, training, and succession planning activities.
- Oversees the development, validation, implementation, and maintenance of financial and operational forecasting models.
- Conducts advanced forecasting, statistical analysis, predictive modeling, and scenario analysis to support agency planning and decision-making.
- Performs final review and quality assurance of analytical products, reports, forecasts, and presentations produced by team members.
- Evaluates emerging forecasting methodologies, analytical techniques, technologies, and software tools to improve forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
- Ensures analytical methods and data products adhere to established standards and best practices.
- Serves as a trusted advisor to executive leadership by translating complex analytical findings into actionable business recommendations.
- Supports budget planning, resource allocation, legislative inquiries, and other strategic initiatives through quantitative analysis and forecasting.
- Collaborates with program, finance, budget, information technology, and executive leadership staff to identify forecasting needs and deliver timely analytical solutions.
- Represents the Financial Forecasting Team in meetings, presentations, and collaborations with internal and external stakeholders.
- Communicates complex technical concepts and forecasting results effectively to both technical and non-technical audiences.
Requirements
- Graduation from an accredited four-year college or university with a bachelor's degree in Statistics, Finance, Mathematics, Economics, Computer Science, Data Science, Biostatistics, or another closely related quantitative field.
- Experience in forecasting, finance, statistics, data science, business intelligence, economics, or quantitative analysis may be substituted for education on a year-for-year basis as allowed by agency policy.
- Minimum of five years of progressively responsible experience in analytics, forecasting, finance, economics, statistics, or data science.
- Experience leading analytical projects, mentoring staff, or supervising professional employees is preferred.
- Applicants selected for hire must pass a background check and if applicable a driver’s record check.
- State of Texas employees are required to maintain the security and integrity of critical infrastructure as defined in Section 117.001(2), State of Texas Business and Commerce Code.
- Applicants selected for hire comply with this code by completing related training and abiding by agency cybersecurity and communications system usage policies.
- As a state agency, DFPS is required by Texas Administrative Code (TAC 206 and 213) to ensure all Electronic Information Resources (EIR) follow accessibility standards.
- The staff must be familiar with the WCAG 2.1 AA and Section 508 to create accessible content including but not limited to; Microsoft Office documents, Adobe PDFs, webpages, software, training guides, video, and audio files.
- DFPS uses E-Verify. You must bring your I-9 documentation with you on your first day of work.
- Employees must provide documentation to DFPS to show their identity and authorization to work in the US.
Skills
- Forecasting methodologies, including time-series analysis, regression modeling, predictive analytics, and scenario planning.
- Statistical analysis and quantitative modeling techniques.
- Data visualization principles and best practices.
- Data management, data warehousing, and business intelligence concepts.
- Budgeting, financial planning, and resource forecasting principles.
- Machine learning concepts and applications.
- Cloud-based analytics environments and modern data platforms.
- SQL
- Python and/or R
- Data extraction, transformation, and analysis of large datasets
- Statistical modeling and forecasting techniques
- Data visualization and reporting tools
- SAS
- SPSS
- STATA
- Power BI
- Azure Analytics Services
- Databricks
- scikit-learn
- Pandas
- ggplot2
- dplyr
- Lead and develop a high-performing analytical team.
- Effectively manage competing priorities and deadlines.
- Think strategically and make sound decisions using quantitative evidence.
- Communicate complex analytical concepts to executive leadership, technical staff, and non-technical stakeholders.
- Build strong working relationships across organizational levels.
- Facilitate collaboration and gain support for analytical initiatives.
- Adapt to changing priorities with creativity, flexibility, and professionalism.
- Exercise sound judgment and independent initiative.
Location
- AUSTIN
Work Type
- Eligible for Telework
- Full time
Experience Level
- Minimum of five years of progressively responsible experience in analytics, forecasting, finance, economics, statistics, or data science.
- Experience leading analytical projects, mentoring staff, or supervising professional employees is preferred.
Education Level
- Bachelor's degree in Statistics, Finance, Mathematics, Economics, Computer Science, Data Science, Biostatistics, or another closely related quantitative field.
Salary/Compensations
- $6,377.50 - $10,785.83 Monthly
Benefits
- 100% paid health insurance for you, and 50% paid for eligible family members
- Retirement plans with lifetime monthly payments after five years of state service, plus options to save even more with 401(k) and 457 plans
- Paid vacation, holidays, and sick leave
- Optional dental, vision, and life insurance
- Flexible spending accounts for added tax savings on health and dependent care
- Employee discounts on things like gym memberships, electronics, and entertainment
- Public Service Loan Forgiveness may be available
About the Company
- The Texas Department of Family and Protective Services (DFPS) works to build on strengths of families and communities to keep children and vulnerable adults safe, so they thrive. We do this through investigations, services, and referrals.
Equal Opportunity
- In compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA), HHS/DFPS agencies will provide reasonable accommodation during the hiring and selection process for qualified individuals with a disability. If you need assistance completing the on-line application, contact the HHS/DFPS Employee Service Center at 1-888-894-4747. If you are contacted for an interview and need accommodation to participate in the interview process, please notify the person scheduling the interview.