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About the Role
The Manager, Aviation Forecasting and Analytics leads the delivery of traffic forecasting, aviation analytics, and capacity monitoring for Toronto Pearson. This role develops and communicates short- and long-term passenger forecasts to inform budgets, business planning, strategy, and capital investment decisions. It also involves leading a team, coordinating forecasting across departments, and translating complex data into insights for senior leadership.
Responsibilities
- Lead the annual forecasting cycle and deliver 1-to-5-year passenger and traffic forecasts for budget, business planning and strategic decision-making.
- Coordinate annual updates to Toronto Pearson's 20-to-50-year forecasts, working with internal partners and external consultants to support long-term planning and financial modelling.
- Assess forecast demand against airport capacity, identifying emerging constraints, infrastructure needs and operational impacts that influence growth and investment decisions.
- Lead the cross-functional forecasting working group and communicate forecast updates, sensitivities and recommendations to senior leadership, the Executive Team and the Board.
- Develop airline and route performance insights using pricing, fares, capacity, passenger profiles, traffic flows and broader market intelligence.
- Oversee dashboards, scorecards, reports and data visualizations that turn complex aviation data into clear, actionable business insights.
- Lead the development of air service business cases and capacity recommendations that support airline growth, connectivity and revenue objectives.
- Build effective relationships with airlines, tourism and destination partners, consultants and internal teams to support joint planning and commercial decision-making.
- Manage budgets and contracts for aviation data sources, while identifying new tools and information that strengthen forecasting and analytics capabilities.
- Lead, coach and develop two analysts, setting clear expectations and creating a collaborative, high-performing and inclusive team environment.
Requirements
- 5+ years of experience in data analytics, forecasting, network planning, air service development, transportation demand analysis or related field.
- 3+ years of experience leading teams and managing internal and external stakeholders.
- Advanced Excel and modelling skills, including statistical forecasting, scenario modelling and sensitivity analysis.
- Strong analytics, research, data mining and data visualization skills.
- Business acumen and communication skills to translate complex analysis into concise recommendations for senior and executive audiences.
- Ability to manage competing priorities, work with limited direction and respond effectively in a fast-paced, evolving environment.
- Excellent proficiency with Microsoft Word, Excel, Outlook and PowerPoint.
- Ability to obtain and retain Transportation Security Clearance at the designated level for the position.
Skills
- Data analytics
- Forecasting
- Network planning
- Air service development
- Transportation demand analysis
- Excel
- Modelling
- Statistical forecasting
- Scenario modelling
- Sensitivity analysis
- Analytics
- Research
- Data mining
- Data visualization
- Power BI
- Tableau
- Communication skills
- Microsoft Word
- Microsoft Excel
- Microsoft Outlook
- Microsoft PowerPoint
Location
- Toronto Pearson
Work Type
- Hybrid
Experience Level
- Manager
Education Level
- Post-secondary degree in economics, aviation, statistics, mathematics, business, data science, engineering, or an equivalent combination of education and relevant experience.
Benefits
- Comprehensive benefits
- Flexible retirement program with employer matching
- Voluntary savings options (RRSP, TFSA, and Non-Registered Savings Plans)
- Continuous internal and external learning opportunities
- Meaningful reward and recognition program
About the Company
- The Greater Toronto Airports Authority (GTAA) is a unique and dynamic place to work, with a bold plan to make Toronto Pearson, Canada’s leading global hub airport, a global leader in airport performance, customer care and sustainability.
- Approximately 2,100 GTAA employees are working to create a next-generation airport by innovating in all we do and striving for the most uplifting, safe and efficient experience for our passengers – all while championing the prosperity of our people, the community we call home, and our aviation partners.
- The GTAA is committed to Employment Equity and maintaining a diverse, equitable and inclusive workplace where everyone can thrive.
Equal Opportunity
- The GTAA is committed to Employment Equity and maintaining a diverse, equitable and inclusive workplace where everyone can thrive.