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About the Role
We are looking for a high-performance Prediction Markets Quant Trader with deep experience in event contracts, forecasting, or HFT, ready to own their vertical and make an immediate PnL impact across platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and other emerging event-market venues.
Responsibilities
- Develop and iterate high-frequency and systematic trading strategies for prediction/event markets, focusing on politics, macro, crypto, and sports-adjacent contracts.
- Build and optimize predictive models and signals for pricing, execution, hedging, and post-trade analysis of binary and categorical event contracts.
- Execute and manage arbitrage trades across prediction market venues and against correlated instruments, coordinating collateral/balances, internal transfers, withdrawals/deposits, and post-trade reconciliation.
- Own the prediction markets trading pipeline, from probability/odds tracking and market making logic to monitoring and deployment.
- Collaborate on improving cross-venue hedging, correlated-market flows, and settlement logic across regulated and offshore platforms.
- Analyze market microstructure, order book dynamics, and execution performance to improve Sharpe and reduce slippage on thinly-traded or event-driven contracts.
- Help evolve asset allocation logic, actively managing assets and exposure across 30+ exchanges and prediction market venues daily.
- Stay ahead of resolution criteria, event calendars, and rule nuances across platforms to identify mispricings and structural edges.
Requirements
- 5+ years of experience in high-frequency or proprietary trading (crypto, prediction markets, sports betting, or traditional finance).
- Prior work with prediction/event markets (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, sportsbooks, or similar), or a low-latency trading/execution system.
- Hands-on experience trading binary/categorical outcome contracts, options, or other probability-based instruments.
- Knowledge of event market structure, resolution mechanics, and price discovery across political, macro, crypto, and sports-linked contracts.
- Solid experience in hedging logic, managing collateral/settlement flows, or optimizing asset rebalancing across multiple venues.
- Deep understanding of market microstructure and how to design systems that extract edge from thin liquidity and event-driven order flow.
- Strong ability to analyze PnL, post-trade statistics, and fine-tune strategies to optimize Sharpe ratio, turnover, and drawdowns.
- Advanced proficiency in Python, applied statistics, and predictive/probabilistic modeling (e.g., calibration, Bayesian updating).
- Familiarity with Rust is a valuable advantage.
- Able to design and maintain robust trading infrastructure, including real-time monitoring, execution diagnostics, dynamic parameter tuning, and automated risk controls.
Skills
- Python
- Applied statistics
- Predictive modeling
- Probabilistic modeling
- Rust (advantageous)
- Market microstructure analysis
- Hedging logic
- Collateral management
- Settlement flow management
- Asset rebalancing
- Trading strategy development
- Model optimization
- Execution optimization
- Risk control
Location
- Global
Work Type
- Full-time
- Flexible working hours
Experience Level
- 5+ years of experience
Benefits
- Profit shares directly linked to performance and market results
- Unlimited upside potential
- Learning & Development budget
- Flexible benefits package (food, taxi, sports, wellness)
- Opportunity to participate in global crypto and prediction-market events
- Flexible working hours
- Casual work attire
About the Company
- Gravity Team is a quantitative proprietary trading firm focused on balancing supply and demand across global crypto and event-driven markets.
- Our work contributes to transforming how markets price real-world uncertainty and democratizing access to forecasting and event markets worldwide.
- We operate under an extremely open idea meritocracy with close to zero bureaucracy.
- We offer fast-moving, challenging, and unique business problems.
- You will be working together with a highly talented team.
- We offer a startup atmosphere.